Daria Egorova vs Mara Gae Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent form analysis shows Daria Egorova holds a slight edge on second serve points, winning 40.27% compared to Mara Gae's 38.71%. Does this make a significant difference? It often does when predicting match outcomes.
• In return games, both players are competitive with Mara Gae narrowly leading on second serve returns, winning 49.06% to Egorova's 48.93%. However, Egorova has the upper hand on first serve return points with 32.70%, higher than Gae's 29.90%.
• Under pressure, Egorova excels in saving breakpoints, achieving a 44.58% save rate, compared to Gae's 42.19%, indicating a stronger mental fortitude in crucial moments.
• Looking at recent performance, Egorova's win rate stands at an impressive 79.41% over the past year, compared to Gae's 60.53%, showcasing Egorova's superior form.
• Surface performance reveals Gae's favorability on hard courts with a win ratio of 60%, yet Egorova matches this on indoor hard surfaces with the same win percentage but a perfect 10/0 record, indicating consistent success indoors.
• Both players primarily compete in ITF tournaments, but Egorova's win ratio is notably higher at 80% compared to Gae's 64.52%, suggesting Egorova performs better at this competition level.
• In their direct head-to-head encounters, Egorova leads with a 1-0 record and has won two out of three sets played, implying a psychological advantage.
• Despite facing tougher opponents with an average rank of 380.55, Gae's head-to-head performance against Egorova remains in Egorova's favor.
• If the match progresses to a deciding set, Egorova's 63% win rate surpasses Gae's 50%, hinting at a likely edge in closely contested matches.

Editorial Prediction (December 22, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the recent performance statistics, Daria Egorova demonstrates a marginally superior ability to win points on her second serve, a factor closely tied to overall match success in tight competition.

Egorova's return of first serve points is notably stronger, providing her with more opportunities to break serve, complemented by her higher breakpoint save percentage, which underscores her resilience under pressure.

With a substantially higher annual win rate and a flawless record on indoor hard surfaces, Egorova enters the match as a formidable opponent, particularly given her past victory in their head-to-head matchup.

Although Mara Gae offers competitive resistance, especially given her success on hard courts and experience against higher-ranked opponents, the statistics suggest Daria Egorova is the more likely victor in their upcoming match.